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Why Tesla Model 3 and Y Sales Are Slumping in Australia: 3 Key Factors

  • Tim Bond
  • Mar 26
  • 2 min read

Tesla’s once-dominant position in Australia’s EV market is facing headwinds, with Model 3 and Y sales plunging by 71.9% year-on-year in February 2025. While the electric vehicle market continues to grow globally, Tesla’s Australian slump stands out. Here are the three big reasons behind the decline.


EV Performance

1. Elon Musk’s Polarising Politics and Brand Perception


Elon Musk’s increasingly controversial political stance—including endorsements of far-right figures, perceived Nazi salutes, and vocal support for Donald Trump—has alienated a segment of Australian buyers. Surveys and anecdotal evidence suggest that Musk’s divisive behaviour is driving some consumers toward rival brands.

"Tesla’s sliding popularity coincides with Musk’s rightward shift, with buyers reportedly opting for alternatives to avoid association with his politics."

This backlash isn’t isolated to Australia; Tesla sales have also dropped sharply in Europe and California, where Musk’s influence is similarly contentious.



Tesla Model 3
Could a new Model 3 save Tesla?

2. Intensifying Competition from Chinese EV Makers


Chinese automakers like BYD are gaining ground with competitively priced, feature-rich alternatives. The BYD Seal, for instance, has emerged as a strong Model 3 rival, while brands like MG and Polestar are eroding Tesla’s market share.


Key Comparisons:

Factor

Tesla Model 3

BYD Seal

Starting Price

~$61,900

~$49,888

Range (WLTP)

491 km

570 km

Charging Speed

250 kW

150 kW

With Tesla’s aging Model 3 design struggling to compete, buyers are increasingly drawn to fresher, more affordable options.

Tesla Model Y
Is the Model Y refresh too late?

3. Buyers Waiting for Refreshed Models & Inventory Uncertainty


Tesla’s upcoming Model Y "Juniper" refresh, expected in mid-2025, has created a "wait-and-see" effect. Meanwhile, deep discounts on outgoing inventory have confused shoppers, with some hesitant to commit to older stock. However, this doesn’t fully explain the Model 3’s 81% sales collapse—suggesting broader demand issues.


What’s the biggest reason for Tesla’s sales slump in Australia?

  • Elon Musk’s political controversies

  • Competition from Chinese EVs (e.g., BYD)

  • Buyers waiting for refreshed models

  • A mix of all three factors



Can Tesla Recover in Australia?

The brand’s future hinges on:

  • Depoliticizing its image (e.g., distancing from Musk’s controversies).

  • Accelerating updates to counter rivals like BYD.

  • Clarity in pricing and delivery timelines to rebuild consumer trust.


For now, Tesla’s Australian slump reflects a perfect storm of political, competitive, and product-cycle challenges—one that even its upcoming Model Y refresh may struggle to overcome.


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